The model identifies VLO (Crude Oil) as displaying a bearish breakout configuration, currently classified at active stage. This classification is based on the model's interpretation of EMA trend structure and Fibonacci execution levels.
Based on delayed data, the model reads the underlying at $163.09, placing it at the 73.7% level in the accumulation (0.500-0.786) zone (model range: $100.60 to $185.43), The model's Fibonacci execution zone spans $143.01 to $167.28, with the entry midpoint at $155.14., The EMA structure shows bearish alignment (EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100) (20-period: $164.04, 50-period: $166.20, 100-period: $168.87), which the model interprets as bearish trend structure.
The model classifies this setup at the active stage progressing toward the model's target at $131.81. According to the model, price is moving through the expected trend leg, and the model monitors for either profit target completion or the halfway/time-based exit condition per strategy rules.
Model invalidation would occur if price rallies above $167.28, which the model would interpret as the breakout having failed. Per the model's strategy rules, exit logic includes both invalidation-based exits and time-based exits (if price fails to reach the halfway point within the defined bar window). The call premium represents the model's total hypothetical maximum risk.
The model notes price is trading -2.50% above the model's invalidation level, suggesting limited margin for error if momentum stalls.