Trend Analysis

EQT / Natural Gas

Options Details (2M ATM Call)

Entry Premium
Risk/Reward Ratio
Max Profit
Max Loss

Strategy details

SummaryBREAKOUT BEARISH
Status
DirectionBEARISH
Profit Trigger45.97
Profit target41.81
Invalidation54.97

Metadata

Last Price53.92
TickerEQT
MarketNatural Gas

Disclaimer: Displayed positions reflect hypothetical model behaviour for research and educational purposes only and do not constitute instructions or recommendations. Any use of this information is at the reader's own discretion and risk.

Position summary

SymbolEQT
Position1
Avg cost2.94
Mark2.74
Unrealized P&L-20.0041
SymbolEQT
Position1
Avg cost2.45
Mark2.17
Unrealized P&L-27.6641

Price action

2032 bars

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Analysis Summary

The model shows a position in EQT (Natural Gas), but no active signal is currently identified. Underlying price data could not be resolved by the model. The model continues to monitor for new entry conditions or exit signals.

Based on delayed data, the model reads the underlying at $53.92, placing it at the 75.3% level in the accumulation (0.500-0.786) zone (model range: $30.22 to $61.71), The model's Fibonacci execution zone spans $45.97 to $54.97, with the entry midpoint at $50.47., The EMA structure shows bearish alignment (EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100) (20-period: $54.12, 50-period: $54.81, 100-period: $55.82), which the model interprets as bearish trend structure.

Model position (hypothetical): Long 1 contract of the Mar 20, 2026 $52.5 put. Model entry premium: $2.94 per contract (hypothetical risk per strategy model). Model marks at $2.74 with a hypothetical unrealized -$20.00 (-6.8%).

While a model position exists, the underlying spot price could not be resolved by the model from market data sources This could indicate the model detects that EMA structure has shifted, the Fibonacci execution geometry is no longer valid, or option pricing no longer meets the model's convexity requirements.

The model continues to monitor EMA trend structure (the sole source of strategy selection per strategy.md), Fibonacci execution zones (providing trigger and target levels), and option convexity pricing (determining entry timing). A new signal will be identified by the model when trend structure, execution geometry, and cheap convexity converge.

The model notes price is trading -1.91% above the model's invalidation level, suggesting limited margin for error if momentum stalls.