Trend Analysis

COP / Crude Oil

Options Details (2M ATM Call)

Entry Premium
Risk/Reward Ratio
Max Profit
Max Loss

Strategy details

Summary
Status
Direction
Profit Trigger
Profit target
Invalidation

Metadata

Last Price92.14
TickerCOP
MarketCrude Oil

Disclaimer: Displayed positions reflect hypothetical model behaviour for research and educational purposes only and do not constitute instructions or recommendations. Any use of this information is at the reader's own discretion and risk.

Position summary

SymbolCOP
Position-3
Avg cost4.28
Mark4.35
Unrealized P&L-21.2907
SymbolCOP
Position-3
Avg cost3.36
Mark3.47
Unrealized P&L-33.4907

Price action

2027 bars

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Analysis Summary

The model shows a position in COP (Crude Oil), but no active signal is currently identified. the model detects EMA structure does not show clear trend alignment (bullish: 20>50>100, bearish: 20<50<100) The model continues to monitor for new entry conditions or exit signals.

Based on delayed data, the model reads the underlying at $92.14, placing it at the 21.6% level in the distribution (0.000-0.236) zone (model range: $80.69 to $133.79), The model's Fibonacci execution zone spans $80.69 to $93.22, with the target midpoint at $86.95., The EMA structure shows flat/rotational structure (|EMA50 - EMA100| ≤ 2%) (20-period: $92.28, 50-period: $92.70, 100-period: $92.28), which the model interprets as consolidation or rotation.

Model position (hypothetical): Short 3 contracts of the Mar 20, 2026 $92.5 call. Model entry premium: $4.28 per contract (hypothetical risk per strategy model). Model marks at $4.35 with a hypothetical unrealized -$21.29 (1.7%).

While a model position exists, the model determines EMA structure does not show clear trend alignment (bullish: 20>50>100, bearish: 20<50<100), or the model finds Fibonacci zones have not provided defined trigger/target levels This could indicate the model detects that EMA structure has shifted, the Fibonacci execution geometry is no longer valid, or option pricing no longer meets the model's convexity requirements.

For model activation, the strategy model requires: EMA structure must show clear alignment (EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA100 for bullish, or reverse for bearish); Fibonacci zones must provide valid execution geometry (trigger and target levels). Per strategy.md, only one strategy (Breakout, Continuation, or Mean Reversion) can be valid at a time, chosen from EMA conditions. Execution rules are applied only after strategy selection.